Research · paper Signal ≠ Value (2026) · design pre-specified · not yet tested

Signal ≠ Value: Coherence-Weighted Human Feedback

A thumbs-up is a signal. It is not the value.

AI systems learn from ratings, votes and thumbs as if each were a direct reading of what people prefer. A rating is better understood as a measurement taken under conditions: how rushed, distracted or tired the person was is part of it. CWHF asks one testable question: when people judge under pressure, do their choices move away from the choices the same people make on reflection, in a consistent direction rather than at random? The primary measure is that signed reflective–pressured choice gap (D); the study tests condition-dependent preferences over answers, not anyone’s moral values or correct preference.

The direction is what matters. Random error cancels as more feedback is collected. A consistent lean does not: more data teaches a model the lean more firmly.

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Status

PaperSignal ≠ Value: Does Pressure Bend the Human Feedback That Trains AI? 12 November 2026 · preprint, not peer reviewed · supersedes the claims of the March 2026 paper (doi:10.5281/zenodo.19235970) · technical supplement (PDF)
Study designThree studies specified: H1 (within-person experiment), H2 (weighting versus prevention), H3 (public vote data). Simulated before any data collection; code is open
RegistrationEarlier H1 at OSF.IO/W7NYH; the revised H1, H2 and H3 are to be registered before any data are collected
DataNone yet. The simulation tests the design, not the hypothesis
Conflict of interestThe author has a commercial interest and will not serve as principal investigator.
LicenceText and data CC BY 4.0; simulation code Apache-2.0

How strong each link in the wider story is

People rely on each other’s attention and judgement (distributed cognition, shared intentionality).Well established
Human social networks are layered in circles of rough size.Established pattern; exact numbers disputed
A person’s state (fatigue, mood, context, framing) changes their answers and choices.Well established
Current AI training treats human feedback as state-free.Largely true of current practice
The state-dependent error is directional and does not average out with scale.Hypothesis · H1 tests this
Being well held moves feedback closer to the value it stands for.Proposal · unproven

How to cite

Rao, V. (2026). Signal ≠ Value: Does Pressure Bend the Human Feedback That Trains AI? Preprint. Two Point Singularity. https://cwhf.vercel.app/paper/

Read the earlier registration